96th Academy Award Nomination Predictions

I love Oscar nomination morning almost as much as I love the actual award show. We usually get some fun surprises. Here’s how I see it going down. Historically, I usually land about 67-75% of these, so expect some differences in the announced list tomorrow. I’m going for it all, no alternates, straight pass/fail this year.

BEST PICTURE
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST DIRECTING
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Jodie Foster, NYAD
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

BEST WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Maestro
May December
Past Lives

BEST WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
American Fiction
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Boy and the Heron
Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget
Elemental
Nimona
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
Society of the Snow (Spain)
The Taste of Things (France)
The Teachers’ Lounge (Germany)
20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine)
The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
American Symphony
Beyond Utopia
Four Daughters
STILL: A Michael J. Fox Movie
20 Days in Mariupol

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM
The Barber of Little Rock
How We Get Free
Deciding Vote
The Last Repair Shop
Wings of Dust

BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Dead Cat
Invisible Border
Red, White and Blue
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Yellow

BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Dog Apartment
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Pete
Smoke

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
“The Fire Inside,” Flamin’ Hot
“I’m Just Ken,” Barbie
“It Never Went Away,” American Symphony
“Road to Freedom,” Rustin
“What Was I Made For?” Barbie

BEST SOUND
Killers of the Flower Moon
Ferrari
Maestro
Napoleon
Oppenheimer

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Asteroid City
Barbie
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Saltburn

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
El Conde
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Golda
Maestro
Napoleon
Poor Things
Society of the Snow

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Poor Things
Priscilla

BEST FILM EDITING
Anatomy of a Fall
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Godzilla Minus One
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Napoleon
Society of the Snow